
Week 3 of the 2025 NFL season is here, and it’s time to lock in your NFL DFS Week 3 picks for DraftKings. In this breakdown, we’ll dive into full game overviews, highlight the best DraftKings stacks, and identify the top DFS value plays to target in both GPP tournaments and cash games. Whether you’re building lineups around elite quarterbacks, stacking high-powered offenses, or looking for sneaky contrarian options, this NFL DFS Week 3 strategy guide will give you the tools to stay ahead of the field and maximize your chances of cashing.
BEST GAME TO TARGET
Dallas @ Chicago | 4:25 PM
VEGAS TOTAL (updated 9/17) | 50.5 |
COWBOYS TEAM TOTAL | 24.5 |
BEARS TEAM TOTAL | 23.25 |
This game should come shouldn't be a surprise to anyone when it comes to a game that will hold the most chalk this weekend. Both defenses have been awful this season, and both are dealing with major injuries in the secondary. We just watched Russell Wilson put on a show against the Cowboys defense on Sunday afternoon, in a game that went crazy and won DFS players a lot of money. Wilson threw for 450 yards and 3 touchdowns, putting up a wild 31.3 fantasy points. At the same exact time we saw Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown absolutely cook the bears, and never let up. Goff threw for 334 yards and FIVE, yes FIVE touchdowns and put up 34 fantasy points. Now, on the recieving end Amon-Ra had 9 receptions for 115 and 3 touchdowns. It is a pretty safe bet to say both these pass defenses will struggle this weekend.
BEARS DEFENSIVE RANKINGS
DEF | YDS/G (RANK) |
PASSING YARDS ALLOWED | 234.0 (22ND) |
RUSH YARDS ALLOWED | 148.5 (27TH) |
TOTAL YARDS ALLOWED | 382.5 (28TH) |
POINTS AGAINST | 39.5 (32ND) |
Lets start on the Dallas offense. CeeDee Lamb ($8000) is the clear alpha in this Cowboys wide receiver group. Through 2 games he ranks second in targets with 24 (12/g), commands a 28.2% target share, and lines up all over the field. We must also note that the data compiled via PlayerProfiler notes he sees 9 'First Read Targets' a game, this is second in the NFL. I can go on and on about all the crazy things the data shows here, but to keep it simple, he is 3rd in receptions and 3rd in recieving yards.
George Pickens ($5900) is another option that won't break the bank on this slate. Pickens is seeing 6.5 targets per game, though this number should be higher. Pickens has drawn 70 yards in PI's through 2 games. He also sees far more targets in the red zone. He has a whopping 57.1% target share in that area of the field, ranking 4th in the league in RZ Targets.
Next up, Javonte Williams ($6100) personally, I feel like he is criminally underpriced for his volume, usage and ceiling. In a game with a total of 50 and his team is the favorite, this is a smash spot. Looking at the data we see that he ranks 7th in rushing yards, first in total touchdowns, and 7th in receptions at the position. Williams is on the field for 74% of offensive snaps, and has a wild 78% opportunity share. That totals to about 18 opportunities per game. The final piece i want to talk about on this offense is its leader, Dak Prescott ($5,900). Dak ranks 3rd in pass attempts (43/G), 2nd in deep ball attempts (6/G) and 5th in passing yards(274.5/G). This offense also ranks second in Pace of Play. There was also a major blow to an already shaky Bears secondary. Cornerback Jaylon Johnson is out indefinitely, per ESPN.

Rome Odunze ($5,300) is quickly showing that he is the new number one WR in Chicago. He’s averaging 10 targets per game with a 29.9% target share and a 100% route participation rate, but what really stands out is his high-value usage: 6 deep targets (#3 overall) and a massive 60% red-zone target share (#2 in the NFL). That profile gives him multiple paths to slate-breaking upside. He’s already been turning opportunity into production with 3 touchdowns and 23.8 DK points per game (4th overall), and his expected fantasy points (2nd overall) confirm the breakout is real. With explosive playmaking ability and heavy scoring equity, Odunze has the kind of boom potential that can separate you from the field in tournaments.
COWBOYS DEFENSIVE RANKINGS
DEF | YDS/G (RANK) |
PASSING YARDS | 283 (30TH) |
RUSHING YARDS | 121 (23RD) |
TOTAL YARDS ALLOWED | 404 (30TH) |
POINTS ALLOWED | 30.5 (27TH) |

DJ Moore ($5,400) sets up as a sneaky GPP play this week, even if his box scores don’t pop yet. He owns a 100% route participation rate and is seeing nearly 43% of his targets as designed plays (#10 NFL), showing Chicago is still scheming him opportunities. While his 16.4% target share isn’t elite, his efficiency stands out with 10.4 yards per target (#15), 14.3 yards per catch, and a 100% true catch rate (#1 overall). Moore hasn’t found the end zone yet, but that makes him a classic tournament pivot — if he connects on a deep shot or finally gets red-zone work, his big-play ability and schemed usage give him slate-breaking upside at likely low ownership.
Caleb Williams ($5,600) offers real tournament upside this week, particularly given how Dallas has fared in the passing game so far. His aggressive deep-ball usage, solid air yards per attempt, and ability to generate fantasy points above expectation make him the kind of boom potential QB GPP plays live on. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have allowed 602 passing yards on just 64 pass attempts through two games — good for a 9.4 yards per attempt average. NFL.com They’ve also given up a high rate of completions downfield (20+ yard passes and long gains) and are being attacked vertically by multiple offenses. That creates fertile ground for a QB who isn’t shy about taking deep shots. Put simply: Williams has the weapons, the shot volume, and the situation — against a Dallas pass defense that’s already demonstrated vulnerabilities — to be a high-upside tournament target this week.
FAVORITE GAME STACKS
STACK | PRICE |
Williams + Odunze + Moore + Lamb | $24,300 | Rem. Salary $25,700 (Avg $5,140) |
Prescott + Williams + Pickens + Odunze | $23,200 | Rem. Salary $26,800 (Avg $5,360) |
Favorite Offense to target
Indianapolis Colts | Team implied Total - 25 | Over/Under 43.5
The Colts have been on fire so far, ranking among the top offenses in the league. Through 2 weeks, they’re averaging over 400 yards per game and more than 30 points per game, placing them inside the top five in both categories. Importantly for fantasy, they’ve been efficient, sustaining drives long drives and capping them with scores.
Jonathan Taylor ($7,200) leads the NFL in rushing yards (236), carries (43), and yards created (263) while ranking top-two in both snap share (81.9%) and route participation (89.2%) and is averaging 6.5 yards per touch, showing he’s not just getting volume but creating big gains on his own. The Colts have also given him valuable opportunities with 12 red-zone touches (#2) with high-usage, and being an explosive running back in one of the league’s most efficient offenses you should lock him in this week.
Daniel Jones ($5,400) has seen his career come back to life. Throwing for over 300 yards in a win over the Broncos while adding a rushing touchdown. Jones has been incredibly impressive, and I expect that trend to continue this week, just take a look at some of his rankings on the table below.

Player | Statistic | Rank |
Daniel Jones | Rushing Touchdowns | #1 ( 3) |
Jonathan Taylor | Red Zone Touches | #2 (12) |
Daniel Jones | Passing Yards | #2 (588) |
Jonathan Taylor | Rushing Yards | #1 (236) |
Daniel Jones | Yards Per Attempt | #1 (9.3) |
Jonathan Taylor | Route Participation | #1 (89.2%) |
Rookie tight end Tyler Warren ($4,400) has quickly made a name for himself in the Colts’ offense. Warren is already leading all tight ends in receiving yards (155) and YAC (90) while ranking #5 in receptions (11). He also shows elite usage. He commands a 25.8% target share (#4 among TEs), runs a route on 92.3% of dropbacks (#4), and has a league-best 66.7% designed target share. He’s also seeing valuable looks, ranking #2 in both deep targets and red-zone targets at the position. Warren is also incredibly efficient, ranking #3 in yards per route run (2.58) and #4 in yards per target (9.7).
Titans defensive outlook
Why do I like colts stacks this week? lets take a look....
The Tennessee Titans have been one of the worst run defenses in the league so far this season. They rank 29th in rushing yards allowed per game (giving up about 150 rushing yards/game) and surrender 5.4 to 5.5 yards per carry. On the passing side, Tennessee is mediocre — they’ve allowed ~237 passing yards/game and are giving up a fair amount of production through the air. Their defense is weak to both ground and aerial game planning , something the Colts have been doing well.
DEF | YARDS GAME (RANK) |
PASSING YARDS ALLOWED | 228.0 (20TH) |
RUSH YARDS ALLOWED | 150.0 (29TH) |
TOTAL YARDS ALLOWED | 378.0 (27TH) |
POINTS AGAINST | 26.5 (25TH) |
FAVORITE STACK - DANIEL JONES + TAYLOR + WARREN
Thanks for reading, if you enjoyed this article, don't forget to comment, and share with your friends. See you on Friday, with my Cash Game Core.
Add comment
Comments